Seoul, South Korea – South Korea now has the right to make any decisions that it chooses after last month’s agreement between US President Joe Biden and South Korean President Moon Jae-in.
But this, announced after a meeting of the two leaders at the White House on May 21, sparked new South Korean weapons security incidents and some investigators are concerned about what could happen across the region.
South Korean troops already have expertise in throwing weapons, although they were less than 800 kilometers (497 miles) away, researchers Daniel Bong, of the Yonsei Institute for North Korea Study, told Al Jazeera. The question is whether the South Korean government wants to join the only group with long arrows.
“It’s one thing to be without chains in the production of weapons, but it’s one thing to do everything at risk of getting in the wrong direction with China,” Bong said.
South Korea has gone wrong with China on the arrows before it arrived agreed to send Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (THAAD), US security systems in 2017.
In response, Beijing imposed sanctions.
South Korean government-affiliated analysts, as well as Moon observers, say China understands South Korea’s views on the release of missiles, which Seoul is known for “regaining military power”.
But US military could still pose a threat to South Korea.
In August 2019, US he left from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty with Russia. Later, former US Secretary of Defense Mark Esper said the US was looking to send central weapons, IRBs, to the Asia Pacific region.
“South Korea could be a place, which could be dangerous in terms of our relations with our neighbors and, China,” Sung Ki-young’s Senior Research Fellow, Institute for National Security Strategy, told Al Jazeera.
The secret is that South Korea decides where to go with its weapons.
“With the use of long-range weapons that can reach major cities within China, South Korea will reduce its resistance to U.S. nuclear weapons,” said Bong Yonsei before “talking about nuclear weapons.”
Some are concerned that arms embargoes will bring China and North Korea closer.
Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with the North Korean ambassador to Beijing after the Biden-Moon summit.
“They showed their relationship … The relationship between US-South Korea is growing, North Korea-China relations are also strong,” Seoul’s Peace Network director Cheong Wook-sik told Al Jazeera.
The arms deal also accused the US of fraud, and continued to support United Nations Security Council sanctions in North Korea.
“The US has strongly condemned, criticized, and imposed the sole responsibility for the production of North Korean weapons, which is why the production of South Korean weapons represents two types,” Cheong said.
Cheong believes it is a fantasy genre, combined with major US-South Korean military tests that could make security worse.
“If the alliance between South Korea and the US takes place in the summer, North Korea could respond by re-testing medium and long-range weapons,” Cheong said.
‘Stop playing with fire’
The break for technical advice was one of several issues that Biden and Moon’s executives completed in May.
The U.S. is also vaccinating 550,000 South Korean soldiers, mainly to protect 28,500 U.S. military personnel working, while Biden helped President Moon make peace with North Korea, even though there is only nine months left in office.
Similarly, Moon was closer to the US compared to China: the linked terms “emphasize (d) the importance of maintaining order and stability in the Taiwan Strait.”
But some have said that what appeared to be a similar advertisement gave the US a political advantage.
“The Moon Jae-in government was overseen by Biden’s supervisors, who were experts in the negotiations, because the Moon Jae-in government seems to be interested,” said Bong of Yonsei.
President Moon is South Korea’s third leading leader seeking peace and unity on the Korean Peninsula, following the Nobel Peace Prize winner Kim Dae-jung, and President Roh Moo-hyun, of which President Moon was president.
Recently, South Korea tried to reconcile between Beijing and Washington.
Economically, Beijing is in control. In 2003, it surpassed the US as South Korea’s largest ally and now has more than a quarter of its foreign exchange earnings, more than $ 125bn per year.
In the meantime, it is the US, with its military and so-called “nuclear umbrella”, which guarantees South Korea’s security as China embarks on a mission, with frequent visits to South Korea’s Economic Zones, Taiwan and countries around the South China Sea.
Explaining what was happening in Taiwan on the Strait in the Biden-Moon alliance, Beijing did not respond immediately, Foreign Ministry spokesman Zhao Lijian later briefly said, “The right countries… should stop playing with fire.”
‘One little reason’
In the case of nuclear weapons, Beijing has now been slightly altered, and North Korea has only responded slightly: a state media report said the move was a “sure reminder of US atrocities in the DPRK and”. two disgraceful things. ”
But analysts have also speculated about what could happen at the Biden-Moon summit, reviving the military situation that North Korea sees as a means to an end.
South Korean human rights activists have blamed the war on climate change, and Moon’s observers want to suspend communications – or reduce them – in order to form an alliance with Pyongyang.
But in his call for him to become US Army Chief of Staff, General Paul LeCamera said the US-South Korean intervention program was “very important to be ready” and to provide vaccinations to South Korean and US troops, “Jae’s government has one reason left. one of the keys to continuing US military operations in South Korea, “said Bongos’s Yonsei.
Despite the difficulties, some in the Moon administration expect the Biden summit to promote peace in North Korea despite South Korea’s president being paralyzed.
During their meeting at the end of the White House visit, Biden mentioned North Korea by name, DPRK (Democratic People’s Republic of Korea), and most importantly, Biden brought a special envoy to North Korea, a former US ambassador and negotiator, Sung Kim.
Moon also said the election signaled US willingness to join North Korea, and then told lawmakers, “the appointment of a US Special Envoy to the DPRK is tantamount to a public call for North Korea to negotiate.”
Sung Kim is now preparing for his first trip to Seoul.
During the five-day visit, which begins on Saturday, Kim is expected to meet with his South Korean counterparts and meet three times with the Japanese delegation. This could be difficult because Tokyo rejected a meeting with South Korean officials at a recent Group Seven (G7) summit in Cornwall and the three countries have different views on how to deal with North Korea.
The president of South Korea has always been fond of taking illegal action, while the US and Japan are pushing for more hawkish methods dependence on continuity.
Competition between the US-China intensifies, with South Korea’s efforts to carry out its plans for North Korea could be extremely dangerous.